This may be a handy table to keep around somewhere. How big a Sample Size do we need if we want to differentiate between 2 choices in a survey or election? It's more than people usually think.
Some might have in mind the guidance on when to use the t Distribution instead of the z (Standard Normal) Distribution. We're told we can use z when n, the Sample Size, is "large". And then we learn that some consider 30 to be large enough, while others say 100.But as you can see from this table, n = 100 barely gets you into the game when you're doing a survey or poll. When n = 100, you have a 10% Margin of Error (MOE). That is, you can say that you have a Statistically Significant difference if your Proportions are wider spread than 44% and 55% for the 2 candidates.But to get to a 2% MOE, you'd need a Sample Size of 2,400. Notice also, that diminishing returns set in. To get to a 1% MOE, you'd need a sample 4 times larger than you would for 2%.
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## AuthorAndrew A. (Andy) Jawlik is the author of the book, Statistics from A to Z -- Confusing Concepts Clarified, published by Wiley. ## Archives
December 2020
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